Treasury curve at the latest verified date

yield %

4.685.25.714.782 years5.2410 years5.6130 years
Federal Reserve H.15 via FRED, October1, 2026; published October2. Not October2 closing yields.

Sources: [1] Federal Reserve two-year constant-maturity yield via FRED · 2026-10-01; published October2; [2] Federal Reserve ten-year constant-maturity yield via FRED · 2026-10-01; published October2; [3] Federal Reserve thirty-year constant-maturity yield via FRED · 2026-10-01; published October2

This analysis examines the implications of the week’s verified reporting, the assumptions behind the financial measures and the developments to monitor next.

ORIGINAL ANALYSIS · MEMBER ACCESS

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